Current Price Overview

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As of July 11, 2025, the price of Ethereum (ETH) is $2,948.45, with a daily rise of 6.3%, marking the highest point in the past five months. The cumulative rise over the recent three days has exceeded 15%, strongly breaking through the previous resistance at $2,850 and launching an attack on the psychological barrier of $3,000.

This is the first clear signal of a补涨 for Ethereum after Bitcoin has reached a new high. ETH has finally regained the attention of institutional funds after a long period of sideways movement, gradually moving out of an upward channel.

Three major driving forces for the rise: ETF, institutions, macro sentiment

1. Spot Ethereum ETF listed and continues to flow in

Since the SEC approved the ETH spot ETF at the end of June, a large amount of funds has continuously flowed in. According to official data, in just the past week, the total net inflow of ETH-related ETFs reached 468 million USD, setting a historical high. In particular, the daily trading volume of BlackRock’s iShares ETHA surged, showing the market’s confidence in the long-term value of Ethereum.

2. Institutional strategies shift towards ETH

Bitcoin has risen nearly 80% since the beginning of the year, and some institutions are starting to focus on Ethereum, which still has upward potential. Bit Digital recently announced the sale of part of its BTC holdings to increase its ETH position, purchasing over 100,000 ETH. This asset allocation behavior is becoming a new trend.

3. The overall market risk appetite is warming up.

As the Federal Reserve releases moderate policy signals, inflation data declines, and the dollar index falls, the liquidity in the cryptocurrency market has once again risen. ETH, as the main chain for smart contracts, has an ecosystem that includes DeFi, NFT, L2, and AI modules. Macro funds tend to rotate from BTC to ETH.

Technical Analysis and Short-term Forecasting

ETH has broken through the mid-term resistance level of $2,850 and is currently trying to stabilize at $3,000. If it can hold this price and continue to increase in volume, the next target price will be:

• $3,100: Strong resistance area since December 2024;
• $3,300: The high point that was not breached multiple times in 2023;
• $3,500: Psychological integer level, usually accompanied by significant selling pressure.

From a technical indicator perspective, the MACD has crossed above the 0 axis, the RSI is close to overbought but still has momentum, and the short-term strength is clear.

Medium to long-term target price analysis

Regarding “How much will Ethereum rise to”, multiple mainstream analytical institutions have provided long-term forecast ranges for mid-2025.

Overall, the market’s neutral expectations are generally concentrated between $4,000 and $6,000, due to factors including the continuous inflow of ETH ETFs, the growth of L2 networks, and the trend of institutional reallocation of assets towards ETH. Crypto research platforms such as CoinDCX and Changelly have pointed out that if ETFs become a sustained bullish factor, ETH could potentially break through $3,500 within the year and challenge $5,000.

In an optimistic scenario, for example, InvestingHaven and CoinStats predict that Ethereum is expected to reach between $8,000 and $10,000, or even higher, during the new bull run cycle. Such judgments are typically based on the continuous increase in on-chain activity, the recovery of the DeFi/NFT market, and the rotation of funds driven by Bitcoin breaking historical highs.

Of course, there are also extremely optimistic voices. For example, some crypto model analysts believe that if global inflation completely recedes, the Federal Reserve relaxes its policies, and ETH becomes “the infrastructure asset of the digital world,” its potential price could exceed $11,000.

Overall, investors should consider the actual market trends and their own risk preferences, rationally viewing the mid to long-term rise potential of Ether, and should not blindly chase after high prices.

Risk Factor Reminder

• Technical pullback risk: If ETH cannot hold above $3,000, it may retest $2,700–$2,600.
• ETF inflow weakens: ETF fund movements are key to the rise, and if they slow down or there are redemptions, it will directly affect the trend.
• Macroeconomic policy shift: If the Federal Reserve unexpectedly raises interest rates or a new round of inflation occurs, risk assets will face heavy losses.

Investment Advice for Beginners

• Avoid FOMO, focus on technical signals such as moving average breakthroughs and changes in trading volume;
• It is recommended to set up a staggered position building and profit-taking strategy, with a target profit of 15%–30%;
• You can set price alerts and take profit/stop loss using platforms like Gate.

Conclusion: How much will Ethereum rise to? Based on the current market data and sentiment, the range of $3,000–$3,200 is achievable in the short term. If the bull run continues in the medium to long term, $5,000–$8,000 is also not impossible. It is recommended for beginners to proceed steadily, avoid risks, and seize the main upward trend.